Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.685863e-05 0.000066 0.000077 0.000088 0.000101 0.000115 0.000130
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.416208e-05 0.000056 0.000070 0.000087 0.000106 0.000127 0.000152
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.641836e-05 0.000050 0.000067 0.000087 0.000112 0.000140 0.000174
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.972580e-05 0.000044 0.000062 0.000085 0.000114 0.000148 0.000191
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.459965e-05 0.000039 0.000058 0.000084 0.000116 0.000156 0.000206
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.028658e-05 0.000035 0.000054 0.000082 0.000118 0.000162 0.000219
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.643274e-05 0.000030 0.000050 0.000079 0.000117 0.000165 0.000229
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.304919e-05 0.000026 0.000046 0.000075 0.000115 0.000167 0.000237
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.066869e-05 0.000023 0.000043 0.000073 0.000115 0.000171 0.000246
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.933598e-06 0.000023 0.000044 0.000076 0.000122 0.000184 0.000269
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.678787e-06 0.000021 0.000042 0.000076 0.000126 0.000192 0.000284
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.682128e-06 0.000022 0.000045 0.000082 0.000137 0.000211 0.000314
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.676677e-06 0.000019 0.000042 0.000080 0.000138 0.000218 0.000331
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.065690e-06 0.000017 0.000039 0.000078 0.000139 0.000224 0.000348
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.031980e-06 0.000015 0.000037 0.000078 0.000143 0.000235 0.000370
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.016680e-06 0.000013 0.000035 0.000076 0.000144 0.000242 0.000388
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.240771e-06 0.000011 0.000033 0.000075 0.000145 0.000250 0.000406
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.602371e-06 0.000010 0.000031 0.000073 0.000146 0.000255 0.000421
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.067009e-06 0.000008 0.000028 0.000070 0.000145 0.000259 0.000433
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 6.512975e-07 0.000007 0.000025 0.000067 0.000142 0.000259 0.000441
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.062960e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000065 0.000142 0.000263 0.000454
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.449537e-07 0.000006 0.000024 0.000068 0.000150 0.000281 0.000487
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.412913e-07 0.000005 0.000023 0.000068 0.000154 0.000291 0.000510